Istaraatiijiyadda Andrucci ee Roulette
Daawo giraangirta muddo, hel lambarka ugu badan ee soo baxay, kadibna ku sharadso. Waxay u egtahay ugaadhsiga giraangir eex leh; lambarradu waxay leeyihiin maaha.
Giraangir kasta waxay muujisaa lambar “kulul” 37 wareeg kadib, eex leh iyo eex la'aanba: lambarka ugu mashquulsan badanaa wuxuu soo baxay saddex ama afar jeer nasiib keliya. In lagu sharadsado hal lambar 37-ka wareeg ee xiga wuxuu ku kacaa 2.70% chiplacagChipCalaamad u taagan qadar go'an, oo la dul dhigo shaxda sharadka si sharad loo sameeyo. Sidoo kale: check.Akhri dhammaan → kasta, sida lambar kasta oo kale, xitaa giraangir run ahaantii eex leh, eegid 37 wareeg ah waxay helaysaa godka eexda leh qiyaastii hal mar labaatankii kaba.
Sidee loo ciyaaraa nidaamka Andrucci?
Qor natiijo kasta 30 ilaa 37 wareeg, adigoo inta lagu jiro wax yar ku sharadsanaya fursadaha lacag isle'eg ah ama aan haba yaraatee sharadsan. Dooro lambarka inta badan soo baxay. Kadib ku sharadso hal unuglacagUnugSharadka saldhigga ah ee nidaam ama ciyaartoy ku shaqeeyo. Kordhinnada waxaa lagu sharxaa unugyo si ay ugu shaqeeyaan miis kasta.Akhri dhammaan → hal lambarsharadHal lambarHal lambar oo keliya, wuxuu bixiyaa 35:1.Akhri dhammaan → ahaan ku dhawaad isla tiradaas wareeg. Noocyada qaarkood waxay raacaan laba ama saddex lambar oo kululkhuraafaadLambar kululLambar dhowaan soo baxay in ka badan intii la filayay. Giraangir caddaalad ah waxba ma saadaaliyo.Akhri dhammaan →, qaarna waxay u wareegaan lambar kasta oo hogaaminaya tirinta inta ciyaartu socoto. Magacu ma laha taariikh la isku halleyn karo: hagayaashu waxay u tiriyaan ciyaartoy Las Vegas ah oo 1970-aadkii, khabiir tirakoob oo Talyaani ah ama cidna, midkoodna ma bixiyo il.
Maxay giraangir kastaa u leedahay lambar kulul?
37 wareeg oo giraangir aan eex lahayn, lambar kastaa celcelis ahaan hal mar ayuu soo baxaa, laakiin wareegyada si siman looma qaybiyo. Lambarka ugu mashquulsan wuxuu soo baxay si sax ah saddex jeer 47% taxanayaashaas, si sax ah afar jeer 40%, iyo shan jeer ama ka badan 11%. Tirin afar ama ka badan 37 wareeg ayaa u eg qaab, nasiibka keliyaana wuxuu keenaa mid qiyaastii fiid walba oo labaad.
Maxay bixisaa wejiga sharadku?
Marka daawashadu dhammaato, nidaamku waa hal lambar oo la ciyaaro 37 jeer. Lambarka la doortay wuxuu guuleystaa fursad 1/37 wareeg kasta, sida lambar kastaa. Wuxuu seegaa dhammaan 37-ka wareeg 36.3% fadhiyada, −37 unug; hal mar ayuu ku dhacaa 37.3%, −1; laba jeer ama ka badan 26.4%, +35 unug ama ka wanaagsan. Celcelis ahaan fadhi wuxuu lumiyaa 1 unug 37-kii la sharadsado kasta: 2.70%.
Ka warran haddii giraangirtu run ahaantii eex leedahay?
Ciyaartoyda ugaadhsada giraangir eex lehshaybaarGiraangir eex lehGiraangir ay cilladaheeda jireed ka dhigaan godad qaarkood kuwo ka itimaal badan 1/37. Waa dhif, waxaana lagu ogaan karaa oo keliya kumanaan wareeg oo la diiwaangeliyay.Akhri dhammaan → runtii waxay raadiyaan lambar si xad dhaaf ah u soo baxa, laakiin waxay tiriyaan kumanyaal wareeg, ma aha 37. Ka soo qaad in hal godqalabGodMid ka mid ah 37-ka qol ee lambarrada leh ee rotor-ka. Sidoo kale: slot, cup.Akhri dhammaan → uu soo baxo hal mar 30-kii wareeg halkii hal mar 37-kii: eex weyn, oo u dhiganta +20% qof kasta oo ku sharadsada. Eegid 37 wareeg ah waxay godkaas u doorataa kan ugu mashquulsan qiyaastii 4.7% oo keliya, marka loo eego 2.7% male indho la'aan ah, sababtoo ah dhowrka ku dhac ee dheeraadka ah waxay ku lumaan buuqa. Celcelis ahaan wixii eegiddu doorato, Andrucci giraangirtaas weli wuxuu lumiyaa qiyaastii 2.2% sharadkiisa. Helitaanka eex intaas le'eg si la isku halleyn karo waxay u baahan tahay dhowr kun oo wareeg.
Maxay u soo jiidataa?
Waxay amaahataa luqadda ugaadhsiga eexda dhabta ah, mararka qaarna aragtida qasnaanta (chaos theory), waxayna ciyaartoyga siisaa wax uu qabto inta giraangirtu wareegayso. Wanaaggeeda keliya waa sharadka joogtada ah: kama sharadsato wax ka badan ciyaartoy kasta oo kale oo hal lambar ah, sidaa darteed kama dhaqso badna khasaaraha.
Su'aalo
Maya. Giraangir aan eex lahayn lambarka kulul waa lambar sida kuwa kale oo kale, chip kasta oo saaranna wuxuu ku kacaa 2.70%.
Qiimaha, haa. Daba-ordidda lambarka kulul iyo sugidda mid qabow oo “waqtigiisu yimid” waa isla hal lambar oo isla qiimaha ah.
Kumanyaal. Eeg Sida Loo Ogaado Eexda Giraangirta Roulette iyo Cabbirka Muunadda.
Madadaalo Xisaabeed
Marka hore adigu isku day. Xal kasta waa qarsoon yahay; fur marka aad diyaar u tahay.
37 wareeg kadib buug-qoraalkaagu wuxuu muujinayaa in 23 soo baxay shan jeer. Intee in le'eg ayay taasi u tahay wax aan caadi ahayn 23 gaar ahaan? Intee in le'egse ayay u tahay wax aan caadi ahayn in lambarka ugu badan ee 37-kaas wareeg uu helo shan ama ka badan?
Muuji xalka
Jawaab 23 oo hore loo magacaabay, shan ku dhac ama ka badan 37 wareeg waxay dhacaan qiyaastii hal mar 327 taxanoba. Lambar kasta oo noqda kan ugu badan, qiyaastii hal taxane sagaalkiiba. Tan labaad waa su'aasha buug-qoraalku runtii ka jawaabo.
Hal lambar oo la magacaabay, ku dhacyada 37 wareeg waxay raacaan qaybinta binomial fursad 1/37 wareeggiiba. Fursadda 0, 1, 2, 3 iyo 4 ku dhac waxay isku noqdaan 99.69%, sidaa darteed shan ama ka badan waa 0.31%, qiyaastii 1 327-kiiba.
Laakiin qofna ma magacaabin 23 wareegyada ka hor; waxaa la doortay sababtoo ah wuxuu soo baxay inta ugu badan. Marka 37 lambar ay tartamayaan, in midkood gaaro shan ayaa aad uga itimaal badan: qiyaastii 11% taxanayaasha 37-wareeg ah, sida jilitaankayagu muujiyay (eeg shaxda kore).
Sidaa darteed tirinta shan waa la yaab lambar aad hore u dooratay, waana caadi kan hormoodka u ah tirinta. Sharadsashada hormoodka kadib waa hal lambarsharadHal lambarHal lambar oo keliya, wuxuu bixiyaa 35:1.Akhri dhammaan → sida mid kasta oo kale, 2.70%.
Kaftan yar
Giraangir kasta waxay leedahay lambar kulul. Taasi waa sida nasiibku u eg yahay.
Ilaha
- RouletteDoc. Sharraxaadda istaraatiijiyadda iyo tusaalooyin.
- Roulette77. Sharraxaadda istaraatiijiyadda iyo tusaalooyin.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Barnhart, R. T. Beating the Wheel.