Istaraatiiji · Kordhin taban · 9 daqiiqo

Istaraatiijiyadda Martingale ee Roulette

Istaraatiijiyadda Martingale ee roulette waxay labanlaabtaa sharadka khasaare kasta kadib, waxayna ku noqotaa sharadka aasaasiga ah guul kadib. Guul kasta waxay soo celisaa dhammaan khasaarooyinkii hore iyo hal unug oo aasaasi ah. Bogga hoose wuxuu muujinayaa waxa taasi ku sameyso raasamaalka ciyaarta, iyo sababta aysan u beddeli karin khasaaraha la filayo.

Jawaab gaabanKa adkaan maayo giraangirta. Istaraatiiji labanlaab ah oo roulette ah, Martingale wuxuu soo saaraa guulo yaryar oo badan iyo khasaarooyin waaweyn mararka qaar. Tiro kasta oo wareegyo ah, khasaaraha la filayo weli waa 2.70% wadarta qadarka la sharadsaday, maadaama kordhintu sharadsato wax badan, khasaaraha la filayo fadhigiiba wuu ka weyn yahay kan sharadka joogtada ah, kama yara.

Sidee buu u shaqeeyaa nidaamka Martingale ee roulette?

Lumi, oo labanlaab. Guuleyso, oo ku noqo sharadka aasaasiga ah. Taasi waa nidaamka oo dhan. Sharad aasaasi ah oo $10 iyo xadka miiska oo $500 ah, taxanuhu wuxuu dhammaadaa lix khasaare kadib. Tiirka ugu dambeeya waa itimaalka in tallaabadaas la gaaro sharad lacag isle'eg ah, halkaas oo khasaare kasta itimaalkiisu yahay 19/37.

khasaare #sharadka xigawadarta khatartap(gaarid)

0$10$10100.00%

1$20$3051.35%

2$40$7026.37%

3$80$15013.54%

4$160$3106.95%

5$320$6303.57%

6$640$1,2701.83%

7$1,280$2,5500.94%

Sharadka aasaasiga ah $10, xadka miiska $500. Lix khasaare kadib sharadka xiga waa $640, oo ka sarreeya xadka: kordhintu way jabtaa iyadoo $630 lumay. Fursadda lix khasaare oo xiriir ah casaan waa (19/37)^6 = 1.83%, qiyaastii hal mar 55 isku day kasta.

Raac nidaamka

Khasaaruhu sharadka ayuu labanlaabaa. Guushu bilowga ayay ku celisaa.

sharadka xiga1natiijada ilaa hadda0wareegyo0

Sharadyada iyo natiijooyinku waa unugyo sharadka aasaasiga ah.

Sidee buu u eg yahay fadhi?

Tallaabooyin yaryar oo kor u kaca, kadibna god qarsoon. Martingale-ka roulette, taxane kasta oo labanlaab ah oo dhammaada wuxuu ku daraa hal sharad aasaasi ah, sidaa darteed xariiqdu si joogto ah ayay kor ugu kacdaa. Taxanaha ku dhaca xadka $500 wuxuu hal mar dib u qaadaa $630: 63 ka mid ah tallaabooyinkaas.

Toban fadhi oo Martingale ah, aasaasi $10, xad $500natiijada iyo bilowga

1,000 fadhi × 500 wareeg · violet p10/p25/p75/p90, buluug khafiif ah dhexdhexaad, 83 muunadood oo khafiif ah · dul mari shaxda si aad u aragto qaybaha wareeg kasta

p10 −$1,000
p25 −$1,000
dhexdhexaad −$1,000
p75 +$930
p90 +$1,830

1,000 fadhi × 500 wareeg · dhidibka y waxaa lagu xaddiday boqolleyda 1aad–99aad (xaddadka −$1,000 ilaa +$2,640) · 500 wareeg · $10 aasaasi · lacag isle'eg

Xariiq kasta waa hal fadhi oo sharadyo lacag isle'eg ah oo ka bilaabma raasamaal ciyaareed $1,000 ah. Fuulitaanno dhaadheer, dhicitaanno degdeg ah.

Tallaabooyin yaryar oo kor u kaca, kadibna god qarsoon oo hal mar dhammaan dib u qaada.

Jilaa

Dejin kasta waxay socodsiisaa 2,000 fadhi oo sharadyo lacag isle'eg ah oo ka bilaabma raasamaal ciyaareed $1,000 ah. Natiijooyinku isla markiiba way cusboonaadaan.

Sharadka aasaasiga

Xadka miiska

Wareegyada fadhigiiba

Natiijooyinka fadhiyada · 2,000 fadhi · 100 wareeg · $10 aasaasi · $500 xadkhasaare ← | → faa'iido

−$1,000$0+$650

dul mari tiir · tiirarka casaanka ah waa fadhiyo khasaaray, kuwa cagaaran way guuleysteen, tiirka khafiifka ah wuxuu dul fuulaa $0

fadhiyada faa'iidada ku jira

40.8%

natiijada dhexdhexaadka

−$130

natiijada celceliska

−$66.44

kordhintu way jabtay

59.3% fadhiyada

boqolleyda 5-aad

−$1,000

hoos-u-dhaca ugu badan (dhexdhexaad)

−$650

Fadhiyada badankoodu waxay ku dhammaadaan faa'iido yar (40.8%), taasina waa soo jiidashada. Celceliska waa taban (−$66.44) maxaa yeelay fadhiyada khasaaray waa waaweyn yihiin: kordhintu waxay gaartay xadka miiska 59.3% fadhiyada. Ciyaartoy sharad joogto ah oo $10 ah oo isla wareegyadaas ciyaara wuxuu filan karaa inuu khasaaro qiyaastii $27.

Inta jeer ee taxane khasaare yimaado

Sharad lacag isle'eg ah oo giraangir hal-eber ah wuxuu khasaaraa 19 wareeg 37-kiiba. Saf kasta waa fursadda in taxane wareegyo ah oo go'an dhammaantood khasaaraan, iyo inta uu ciyaartoy Martingale ah, oo labanlaaba khasaare kasta kadib, ilaa markaas khasaaray.

Sharadka aasaasiga

khasaarooyin isku xiga	fursad	qiyaastii 1 ee	khasaaraha ilaa hadda	sharadka xiga
1	51.4%	2	$1	$2
2	26.4%	4	$3	$4
3	13.5%	7	$7	$8
4	7.0%	14	$15	$16
5	3.6%	28	$31	$32
6	1.8%	55	$63	$64
7	0.94%	106	$127	$128
8	0.48%	207	$255	$256
9	0.25%	403	$511	$512
10	0.13%	784	$1,023	$1,024
11	0.065%	1527	$2,047	$2,048
12	0.034%	2974	$4,095	$4,096
13	0.017%	5792	$8,191	$8,192
14	0.0089%	11279	$16,383	$16,384
15	0.0046%	21965	$32,767	$32,768

Fursaddu waa 19/37 oo lagu dhuftay naftiisa hal mar khasaare kasta, laga tiriyo hal wareeg oo go'an. Fadhi dheer wuxuu leeyahay wareegyo badan oo taxane noocaas ahi ka bilaabmi karo, sidaa darteed fiid dhan way ka suurtagalsan tahay inta hal saf tilmaamayo.

Taxane shan iyo toban khasaare ah wuxuu yimaadaa qiyaastii hal mar 22,000 isku day kasta. Taasi waxay u egtahay ammaan. Maaha, laba sababood awgood. Wareeg kasta wuxuu bilaabaa isku day cusub, fiidkuna wuxuu leeyahay boqollaal wareeg. Qofna ma gaaro shan iyo toban: sharad aasaasi ah oo $10, xadka $500 wuxuu joojiyaa labanlaabka lix khasaare kadib, kuwaas oo yimaada qiyaastii hal mar 55 isku day kasta.

Maxaanu u beddeli karin odds-ka?

Qiimaha la filayo wuu isku darmaa. Haddii sharad kasta oo gooni ah uu leeyahay filasho −2.70% qadarkiisa sharad ah, markaa taxane kasta oo sharadyo ah, si kasta oo loo doorto qadarka sharadka, wuxuu leeyahay filasho −2.70% wadarta la sharadsaday. Doorashada qadarka sharadka waxay ku xirnaan kartaa natiijooyinkii hore; kuma xirnaan karto kan xiga.

E[Σ bᵢ·Xᵢ] = Σ bᵢ·E[Xᵢ] = −(1/37)·Σ bᵢ
bᵢ waxaa la doortaa ka hor wareegga i; Xᵢ = ±1 oo ka madaxbannaan bᵢ

Fahamyo khaldan oo caam ah

“Waxaad u baahan tahay inaad hal mar oo keliya guuleysato si aad wax walba u soo celiso.”

Run bay tahay kordhin dhammaystirantay gudaheed. Kordhinta aan dhammaystirmin, xadka miiska ama raasamaalkaaga awgood, waxay lumisaa taxanaha oo dhan, taxanahaasina naqshad ahaan waa weyn yahay.

“Raasamaal ciyaareed ku filan oo weyn, ma fashilmi karo.”

Xadka miiska ayaa joojiya labanlaabka goor dheer ka hor inta raasamaalka intiisa badan uusan joojin. Xad la'aan, raasamaalka loo baahan yahay wuxuu u koraa si jibbaaran halka faa'iidada wareeg kasta ay ku egtahay hal unug oo aasaasi ah.

“Lix khasaare oo isku xiga dhab ahaan waa wax aan suurtagal ahayn.”

Casaan, waxay ku dhacdaa 1.83% daaqadaha lix-wareeg ah. Fadhi 200 wareeg ah, badanaa waxaad arki doontaa ugu yaraan hal taxane oo lix ah.

Kaftan yar

Guulo yaryar oo badan, hal khasaare weyn oo dhif ah. Magdhowgana adigaa iska bixinaya.

Gunaanadka xisaabeedNidaamka Martingale ee roulette wuxuu beddelaa itimaal sare oo guul yar iyo itimaal yar oo khasaare weyn. Waa caymis si rogan loo iibiyay: habeennada intooda badan waxaad qaadataa lacag caymis yar, magdhowga weyn ee dhifka ahna adigaa iska bixiya. Wuxuu kordhiyaa qadarka la sharadsado fadhigiiba, sidaa darteed wuxuu kordhiyaa khasaaraha la filayo fadhigiiba. Ma yareeyo mana yareyn karo faa'iidada kasiinada. Haddii aad si kastaba u isticmaasho istaraatiijiyadda Martingale ee roulette, horay u ogow meesha aad ku jabayso: sharad aasaasi ah oo $10 iyo xad $500 ah, taasi waa lix khasaare oo xiriir ah, dhacdo 1.8% ah isku day kasta. Eeg Maaraynta Raasamaalka Ciyaarta iyo Xadka Khasaaraha / Xadka Faa'iidada.