Qalab · Xisaabiye

Xisaabiyaha Khatarta Burburka

Itimaalka in la gaaro bartilmaameed faa'iido ka hor inta aan raasamaalka ciyaarta la waayin, iyadoo sharad joogto ah lagu dhigayo lacag isle'eg.

Raasamaalka ciyaarta

Sharad

Bartilmaameed

gaar bartilmaameedka

24.6%

burbur marka hore

75.4%

bartilmaameed

+$250

unugyo (a / b)

50 / 25

wareegyada la filayo ilaa dhammaadka

1,168

EV-ga isku dayga

−$315.70

Akhriska natiijada

Adigoo mar kasta sharadsanaya $10, waxaad haysataa fursad 24.6% ah inaad $500 u beddesho $750 ka hor inta aadan lacag la'aan noqon. Sharadyada waaweyn waxay kordhiyaan itimaalkaas sababtoo ah wareegyo yar macnahoodu waa canshuuro 2.70% ah oo yar; sidoo kale safarka way ka dhigaan mid aad u kacsan. Isku day sharadyo $100 ah iyo sharadyo $5 ah si aad saameynta u aragto.

Habka iyo malayaasha

Burburka khamaarlaha oo p = 18/37: P(bartilmaameed) = (1 − (q/p)ᵃ)/(1 − (q/p)ᵃ⁺ᵇ), a = raasamaal/sharad, b = bartilmaameed/sharad. Muddada la filayo a/(q−p) − (a+b)·P/(q−p). Sharadyo joogto ah oo lacag isle'eg ah oo keliya.